May 23, 2018

Godshall Chronicles 01/22/18

National Academies

DHHS funded National Academies to issue purportedly scientific report on vaping at Tuesday, January 23 press conference webinar at 11AM (can be watched live)

National Academies to release report titled “Public Health Consequences of E-Cigarettes”, which will likely exaggerate the very low risks of vaping, and deny or downplay the lifesaving benefits vaping has provided millions of smokers (as hundreds of DHHS funded studies have done). Any objective report on vaping would be titled “The Many Public Health Benefits of Vaping”.  Also, the 2014 SG Report was titled “The Health Consequences of Smoking – 50 Years of Progress”

the 2004 SG Report was titled “The Health Consequences of Smoking” and the 2006 SG Report was entitled “The Health Consequences of Involuntary Exposure to Tobacco Smoke”

National Academies Vaping Researcher Committee includes DHHS funded anti vaping junk scientists who have grossly exaggerated the risks of vaping, and/or have denied or downplayed the lifesaving health benefits of vaping.

Some false fear mongering claims about vaping that have been made by National Academies committee members Adam Leventhal, Richard Miech and Nancy Rigotti appear below.

NIH funded Leventhal at al junk study falsely insinuates that vaping is a gateway to cigarettes, news media repeat false fear mongering claim.

Nancy Rigotti touts Leventhal et al article claiming e-cigs are gateways to cigarettes, urges FDA to impose Deeming Rule that bans sales of lifesaving vapor products to adults


NIDA references Nancy Rigotti’s op/ed to further demonize lifesaving vapor products


Clive Bates, Konstantinos Farsalinos, Mike Siegel and Linda Bauld criticize Leventhal et al claim that e-cigs are gateway to cigarettes


NIH funded Leventhal et al again falsely insinuate vaping is gateway to cigarettes; But study:
– falsely claimed 37% of 10th graders are vapers (inaccurately citing 2015 MTF data),
– failed to properly/appropriately compare baseline smokers to baseline vapers,
– found 24% of 3,084 participants, including 93% who were nonsmokers, reported “prior” vaping at baseline (i.e. previous e-cig experimentation, but not in past month),
– found 95.1% of participants reported NO cigarette smoking in past month,
– found just 2.4% of participants reported smoking >2 days in past month,
– falsely classified those who smoked >2 days in past month as “frequent smokers”,
– falsely classified those who vaped >2 days in past month as “frequent vapers”,
– found just 4.7% of participants reported vaping >2 days in past month at baseline, and
– found just 4.3% of participants reported vaping <3 days in past month at baseline.

News media tout 2nd wave of fear mongering claims about vaping by NIH funded Leventhal et al–gateway–to-teen-smoking–study.html

Adam Leventhal demonizes and misrepresents risk/benefits of vaping

NIDA funded Richard Miech at Univ of Michigan misrepresents 2014 MTF data (finding record declines in teen smoking) by falsely insinuating that e-cigs are gateways to cigarettes

After finding huge decline in teen smoking in 2015, and after failing to disclose smoking rates among e-cig users (and vice versa), NIDA funded MTF surveyor Richard Miech claimed e-cigs weren’t used by teens to quit smoking, falsely insinuated that e-cigs are as harmful as cigarettes, and lobbied for FDA’s e-cig ban and an e-cig flavoring ban by falsely claiming TCA’s ban of <1% of flavored cigarettes reduced cigarette smoking.

NIDA funded Richard Miech falsely claimed e-cigs are gateways to cigarettes for teens

Joel Nitzkin and Sally Satel expose the deeply flawed research methods (er misconduct) used in DHHS funded studies claiming e-cigarette experimentation leads to cigarette smoking among teens and young adults (and the so-called meta study by Soneji, Leventhal, Miech et al):

Vaping experts criticize junk vapor meta analyses by Soneji, Leventhal, Miech et al

Cole-Bishop and 2018 US Federal Spending Bill – pertinent to US government shutdown

Bill Godshall: Clarifying Cole-Bishop’s Impact on the Vapor Industry (clarifies how/why the Cole-Bishop amendment to the 2018 federal spending bill preserves FDA’s Deeming Rule)

CASAA urges vapers to tell Congress to include Cole-Bishop in 2018 federal spending bill

US Vapor Industry

Wells Fargo’s Bonnie Herzog estimates another huge sales increase for PVs and e-liquid in US in 2018, as cigalike e-cigs sold primarily by tobacco companies remain stagnant and decline.

Bonnie Herzog’s estimated vapor product sales (by segment) in the US since 2014

2018 $5.1 Billion total, $3.5B PVs & e-liquid, $1.6B cigalike e-cigs
2017 $4.4 Billion total, $3B PVs & e-liquid, $1.4B cigalike e-cigs
2016 $4.1 Billion total, $2.5B PVs & e-liquid, $1.6B cigalike e-cigs
2015 $3.5 Billion total, $2B PVs & e-liquid, $1.5B cigalike e-cigs
2014 $2.5 Billion total, $1.1B PVs & e-liquid, $1.4B cigalike e-cigs

Juul continues to expand e-cig market share gap with Vuse; Newport keeps ticking up

Snus in Norway and EU

Norwegian smoking rate cut in half in past decade (from 22% to 11%) as use of very low risk snus surpasses cigarettes (just as occurred in Sweden in recent decades)

This public health victory couldn’t have occurred if Norway was in the EU, as the EU bans snus.

Lawsuit challenging EU’s cigarette protecting snus ban will be heard January 25

Cigarette sales plummet in Japan as smokers switch to IQOS

Japan Tobacco reports 16.5% decline in cigarette volume in December (in Japan), and a 12.5% decline during 2017 (as sales of IQOS and other heat-not-burn products skyrocket)

Steve Birr: Popularity of a smoking alternative is causing cigarette sales to tank (in Japan)

THR Education and Advocacy

Steve Birr: Public health experts urge British lawmakers to incentivize vaping over smoking

Adolescents and e-cigarettes: Objects of concern may appear larger than they are

by Lynn Kozlowski & Ken Warner (refutes DHHS funded junk vapor gateway studies and false fearmongering claims, recommends some THR policies, but is silent about FDA Deeming Ban)

Harm Minimization and Tobacco Control: Reframing Societal Views of Nicotine Use to Rapidly Save Lives; by Abrams, Glasser, Pearson, Villanti, Collins & Niaura

Authors analyze scientific evidence and appropriately advocate THR education and policies, but are silent about the TCA’s and FDA Deeming Rule’s cigarette protecting bans of lifesaving THR products, and dubiously claim THR is a key component for tobacco control.

Authors correctly concur that vapor products, Swedish snus & American moist snuff are all exponentially less harmful than cigarettes, but build upon Nutt et al’s inaccurate plotting of Swedish Snus and American moist snuff as more harmful than vaping on the Continuum of Risk.

Do Less Harm: E-cigarettes a safer option than smoking, new study says

UPI: Vaping a safer option, could help prevent smoking related deaths: Study

Steve Birr: Public health leaders call for correction of mistaken beliefs on vaping

THR Research

Study of 15 vapers who were given 8 different vapor products finds participants preferred refillable vapor products over cigalike e-cigs, lower nicotine delivery was associated with more frequent vaping, ‘throat hit” was found to be important.

Farsalinos/Gillman analysis of 32 studies that compared carbonyl emissions in vapor aerosol and cigarette smoke finds carbonyl emissions in vapor aerosol were substantially lower than those in cigarette smoke whenever realistic use conditions were ensured, but find the vast majority of the 32 studies did NOT control for dry puff conditions (i.e. they didn’t replicate human exposures). (full text)

Fontem Venture’s two year study on users of its Puritane e-cig finds declines in smoking and cigarette consumption, decline in adverse events, no safety concerns.

Steve Birr: Vaping study finds ‘no signs of serious health complications’ in longtime users

Study finds more Americans trust CDC and FDA than the vapor industry for information on vaping (which explains why increasingly more Americans inaccurately believe vaping is just as harmful as cigarette smoking, and why tens of millions continue to smoke cigarettes).

CDC THR Surveillance

Brad Rodu: 1.7 million high schoolers vaped in 2016, as both vaping and smoking declined

Reveals key 2016 NYTS data that CDC has grossly misrepresented; including:

– CDC counted 660,000 dual users twice (as both smokers and e-cig users) to distort findings,

– exclusive cigarette smoking declined from 14.6% in 2011 to just 3.9% in 2016 as exclusive vaping increased from .3% in 2011 to 7.2% in 2016,

– 69% of nonsmoking teens who vaped did so on 5 or fewer of past 30 days

While the NYTS didn’t ask students what they vaped, the 2017 MTF found among 12th graders who vaped in past year, 51.8% said they vaped “just flavoring”, and 32.8% said “nicotine”.

CDC releases 2016 NHIS demographic data on adult cigarette smokers in the US

CDC cites 2010-2015 NSDUH data for tobacco use by Military Veterans (doesn’t include vapor)

CDC posts 2016 NIH data for “current adult cigarette smokers” by sex and race

Foundation for a Smoke-Free World

Foundation for a Smoke-Free World Pledge Agreement

Foundation for a Smoke-Free World’s Derek Yach posts An Open Letter on the Foundation’s Independence and Governance

Abstinence-Only Opposition to Opioid Harm Reduction in US Resembles THR Opposition

Maia Szalavitz: The Wrong Way to Treat Opioid Addiction

“Buprenorphine is one of only two treatments proven to cut the death rate from opioid addiction by half or more.”

“In these patients, addiction is replaced by physical dependence.”

“Only about one-third of American addiction programs offer what many experts worldwide see as the standard of care — long-term use of either methadone or buprenorphine.”


Texas cigar businesses sue FDA over mandated cigar warnings

FDA’s 2018 Strategic Policy Roadmap claims goals of reducing cigarette addiction and encouraging new technology and product innovation for vapor products, while touting its 2016 vapor Deeming Ban (that protects cigarettes by banning sales of new vapor products in 8/2016, banning sales of >99.999% of the 3 million FDA registered vapor products in 8/2022, and banning truthful claims that vapor products are less harmful than cigarettes) and forthcoming vapor product standards (that could ban most 8/2016 vapor products a year before 8/2022.

FDA continues to protect cigarettes by deceiving Americans about lifesaving vapor products and nicotine, agency’s tweet insists e-cigs are tobacco products (which is exactly opposite of what FDA told federal judges in 2009/2010), conflates very low risk vapor products and nicotine to deadly cigarettes, and demonizes nicotine (which is very similar to caffeine) by claiming it “can change the way your brain works”; responding tweets provide more accurate info on vaping.

Statement by FDA’s Scott Gottlieb on FDA decision to seek additional time to reassess rule that would have changed longstanding practices for how the agency determined the ‘intended use’ of medical products (per FDA’s efforts to protect Big Pharma drugs and deadly cigarettes by banning truthful claims that vapor and smokeless tobacco products help smokers quit smoking).

PMI/Altria MRTP application to FDA for IQOS

FDA TPSAC to meet January 24/25 to discuss PMI’s MRTP application for IQOS (can be watched live); public comment period from 8AM-9AM on January 25.

AP article on FDA TPSAC’s meeting on IQOS interviews many tobacco controllers who endorsed FDA’s cigarette protecting vapor Deeming Ban, but no THR activist who opposed it

UK Government’s Committee on Toxicology

Statement on the toxicological evaluation of novel heat-not-burn tobacco products

Brad Rodu: Trials and tribulations of reduced risk tobacco products

Steve Birr: FDA to discuss fate of cigarette alternative fueling a historic drop in cigarette sales

Dr. Erika Bliss urges FDA to approve PMI MRTP application for IQOS


Brent Stafford: It’s All About the Regs / Not So Holiday Special


Becket Associates: No EU vape tax. For now

Rhode Island Democrat Gov. Gina Raimondo’s budget proposal imposes 80% tax on lifesaving vapor products, increases cigarette tax from $4.25 to $4.50/pack

NM bill (SB 25) would increase cigarette tax from $1.66 to $3.16/pack, increase OTP tax from 25% to 76% of wholesale price, impose 76% tax on vapor products.  Sponsor Howie Morales introduced a similar bill last year, which was defeated by the NM House Taxation Cmte.

Hawaii bill (SB 2654) would add “e-liquid” as a tobacco product under Section 245 of Hawaii Consolidated Statutes (for tax purposes), impose a 70% tax on wholesale e-liquid and require licensure for e-liquid marketers, and ban online sales of tobacco (and e-liquid) in Hawaii.

Note a nearly identical 2017 bill (HB 1495) would have taxed and banned internet sales of all “Electronic Smoking Devices”, which included cigalike e-cigs sold by Big Tobacco companies

Virginia bill (SB 390) would increase cigarette tax from $.30 to $7.00/pack, increase smoking tobacco and cigar tax from 10% to 23% of manufacturer’s price, but wouldn’t increase moist snuff tax and wouldn’t tax vapor.  Sponsor is a D in a R controlled VA Senate.

Indiana bill (HB 1380) would increase cigarette tax from $.995 to $2.995/pack, and would increase minimum age for tobacco sales to 21. Sponsor is a D in a R controlled IN Senate.

Israel protects cigarettes by taxing PMI’s lower risk IQOS at the same rate

Indonesia protects cigarettes by imposing 57% tax on lifesaving vapor products


Man sues shop in NY that sold him a vapor product, whose battery allegedly exploded

Age 21

Judge temporarily blocks minimum age 21 law from going into effect in Topeka (KS) after vape shops challenge ordinance in court citing state preemption, court hearing set for February 1.

San Antonia (TX) City Council hikes minimum age for sales of tobacco/vapor products to 21.

West Virginia bill (SB 13) introduced by 4 Democrat Senators would increase minimum age for tobacco and vapor sales to 21.

New Hampshire Senator David Watters (D-Dover) proposes bill (SB 545) to increase minimum sales age for tobacco/vapor products, repeats CTFK’s lies conflates lifesaving vapor products, very low risk smokeless tobacco and low risk cigars and pipe tobacco with deadly cigarettes

Retail Restriction

HI bill (SB 2304) would ban new tobacco and vapor shops from opening within 750 feet of schools, playgrounds and public housing complexes.

Workplace Smoking Ban

Indiana bill (HR 1381) would ban smoking (but not vaping) in all workplaces in IN

Workplace Vaping Bans

Alaska bill (SB 63) would ban vaping in all virtually all workplaces (by deceitfully changing the definition of smoking to include smokefree vaping), public hearings next week

CASAA urges vapers to oppose Alaska bill (SB 63) to ban vaping in workplaces

Steve Birr: American Lung Association wants to cut off vaping access over secondhand emissions fears (in MA and all other states since 2009)

Home Vaping Ban

Jefferson City (MO) Housing Authority doesn’t even try to enforce its nonsensical home vaping ban, and has significant difficulty attempting to enforce its smoking ban.

Unethical Research

Carl Phillips: How low will they go? Researchers secretly monitor vape convention

Carl Phillips: Consumer groups challenge FDA’s misleading animal research on nicotine

Junk gateway vaping studies

Steve Birr: Study calling vaping a gateway called out for omitting critical information

Carrie Wade: Why vaping isn’t a gateway to smoking

Steve Birr: Expert debunks vaping gateway myth ripping bad science in service of bad theories

News media repeat false claims by DHHS funded junk vape study authors at UCSF

Glantz and Bareham deceitfully tout vapor research misconduct as scientific evidence, continue to misrepresent scientific and empirical evidence to falsely claim e-cigs are gateways to smoking

DHHS funded vapor prohibitionists at Yale continue to grossly misrepresent the evidence and data (including their own) to call for vapor sales bans (after FDA has already banned them)

More Junk Science, Propaganda and Lies

Legacy Lies Initiative deceitfully insinuates that flavored vapor, smokeless tobacco, cigars and hookah are more harmful for teens, young adults and public health than cigarettes (including menthol cigarettes), keeps lying about flavorings and the different risks of different products

Vapor prohibitionists at NIH advocate even more NIH funded junk science to demonize vaping

and lobby for even more cigarette protecting vapor sales/use bans, vapor taxes, etc.

Puritanism makes faulty health policy

Nicotine: Best available evidence isn’t good enough

DHHS funded tobacco controllers give free samples of very low risk snus to adult smokers (something the TCA bans snus companies from doing) who didn’t want to quit smoking, but fail to truthfully inform them that snus is far less harmful than cigarettes and has helped hundreds of thousands of Swedes quit smoking; finds two thirds of persistent snus users and half of snus experimenters knew that snus is less harmful than cigarettes even though DHHS has falsely insinuated otherwise for decades (something the author’s abstract did not acknowledge).

Chinese researchers find PMI’s IQOS emits at least 80% fewer “harmful constituents” than are emitted by cigarettes, but incorrectly claim IQOS emitted similar levels of “tar” as cigarettes after they inappropriately classified ‘glycerin’ and ‘propylene glycol’ emitted by IQOS as “tar”.

Carl Phillips: Vapers on Twitter find countless errors in peer-reviewed paper


Bill Godshall
Executive Director
Smokefree Pennsylvania

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